Weekly Market Insights | Rough Week for Stocks, with Slight Friday Rally

Weekly Market Insights | Rough Week for Stocks, with Slight Friday Rally

March 18, 2025

Investors endured another volatile, whipsaw week as ongoing trade talks and White House comments about the economy unsettled investors. 

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 2.27 percent closing Friday's session at 5,578.10, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 2.43 percent closing at 17,754.09. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 3.07 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, lost 0.95 percent.1,2

Markets Stem Losses

Stocks opened the week lower as investors reacted to the president’s weekend comments about the economy. Then, U.S. and Canadian leaders traded additional tariff threats, riling up anxious investors.3,4

Stocks rebounded midweek after a cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) report eased growing inflation concerns.5

The broad market slide resumed Thursday, but better-than-expected February wholesale inflation data helped buffer losses. The S&P 500 ended Thursday in correction territory—10 percent below its February 19 record close.6

Markets pushed higher Friday, clawing back some losses for the week. News of progress in resolving the federal government shutdown soothed investors’ nerves.7

Here's more of what's happening and what's coming up...

Investors remain concerned about the outcome of an ongoing tariff war between the US and several of its trading partners. Canada, the largest importer of US goods, imposed 25% retaliatory tariffs on more than $20 billion of US products and the European Union said it will impose counter-tariffs on up to 26 billion euros ($28.35 billion) worth of US goods starting next month.

US President Donald Trump earlier this week put 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. The European Union retaliated with levies of its own, including those on some US alcoholic beverages. Trump then said he will impose a 200% levy on all alcohol products coming from the EU if the bloc didn't rescind its tariffs on US alcohol.

Inflation in the US was slightly cooler than expected in February with the consumer price index rising 0.2% from the previous month and 2.8% year over year. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg predicted increases of 0.3% and 2.9%, respectively.

The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index fell to 57.9 in March from 64.7 in February, compared with expectations for a much smaller decrease to 63.0 in a survey compiled by Bloomberg. The drop came as respondents raised their inflation expectations.

All but the energy and utilities sectors of the S&P 500 fell this week. Consumer staples had the largest percentage drop, sliding 4.3%, followed by a 3.7% decline in consumer discretionary, a 3.5% loss in communication services and a 3% decrease in health care.

Estee Lauder (EL) was hit hardest in the consumer staples sector, falling 9.3%. Adobe (ADBE) said the beauty care company is using its generative artificial intelligence platform Firefly in digital market campaigns.

In consumer discretionary, shares of Dominos Pizza (DPZ) fell 9.8%. A regulatory filing showed Chief Financial Officer Sandeep Reddy sold 1,077 shares in the company for $477,326 on March 10.

Among communication services stocks, Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) fell 8%. The company is partnering with Coupang Play to offer exclusive HBO and HBO Max original content on the South Korean video streaming service starting March 21.

DexCom (DXCM) was the biggest percentage decliner in health care, falling 9.2% after it received a notice from the US Food & Drug Administration last week regarding manufacturing and quality management non-conformities found during inspections at its Mesa, Arizona, and San Diego, California, facilities.

In energy, EQT (EQT) was up 7.9% as its Active Core Infrastructure fund agreed to buy Crown Castle's (CCI) small cells solutions business for $4.25 billion. On Monday, the company priced a tender offer to buy up to $750 million of outstanding 3.9% senior notes due 2027.

AES (AES) was the top performer in the utilities sector, gaining 9.4%. The company priced $800 million of 5.8% senior notes due 2032 and plans to use the proceeds to fund repurchases of its 3.3% senior notes due 2025 in a tender offer.

Next week, earnings reports are expected from companies including Accenture (ACN), Nike (NKE), Micron Technology (MU) and PDD Holdings (PDD).

Economic data will include February retail sales, industrial production, the Federal Open Market Committee's interest-rate decision and existing home sales.

Sunny Side ‘Down’

Fewer CPI constituents garner more attention from consumers right now than the price of eggs. Avian bird flu—and the subsequent culling of millions of chickens—was primarily to blame for prices rising 15 percent in January and another 10 percent in February. While recent evidence suggests prices have dropped, the cost of eggs remains a sticky issue—even though prices of many other items have risen just as much, if not more.8,9

So why do consumers appear to be overly uneasy?

One theory is that eggs symbolize something more significant. Not only are eggs a critical, inexpensive source of protein and nutrients for millions of consumers, but they are also a core part of many other foods made at home or mass-produced. For that reason, eggs are a mental proxy for how consumers believe the broader economy is doing.10

This Week: Key Economic Data

Monday: Retail Sales. Business Inventories. Homebuilder Confidence Index.

Tuesday:  Housing Starts and Permits. Import & Export Prices. Industrial Production. Capacity Utilization. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting—Day 1.

Wednesday:  FOMC meeting—Day 2. Fed Announcement/ Fed Chair Press Conference.

Thursday:  Existing Home Sales. Weekly Jobless Claims. Leading Indicators.

Friday:  Federal Reserve Official John Williams speaks.

Source: Investors Business Daily - Econoday economic calendar; March 13, 2025
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Wednesday:  General Mills, Inc. (GIS)

Thursday:  Nike, Inc. (NKE), Micron Technology, Inc. (MU), FedEx Corporation (FDX)

Source: Zacks, March 13, 2025. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it."

– Warren Buffett

If You Didn’t Receive Your W-2

If you don’t receive your W-2 or 1099 by January 31 of the year, you are filing taxes, or if the information on these forms is incorrect, contact your employer/payer. If you still haven’t received the forms you need by the end of February, you can contact the IRS at 800-829-1040, and they may be able to help. 

When you contact the IRS, they will also reach out to the employer/payer for the information you need, and they will also send you Form 4852, a substitute for a W-2 or 1099. To do this, they will ask for your employer/payer’s name, address, and phone number (as well as your information).

This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from IRS11

How to Make Hummus

Hummus is a dip made primarily from garbanzo beans and is great on pita bread, veggies, or chicken. Here’s how to make hummus:

  1. In a food processor or blender, combine ¼ cup tahini (sesame paste) with ¼ cup fresh lemon juice—process for one minute. 
  2. Add 2 tablespoons olive oil, ½ teaspoon ground cumin, ½ teaspoon of salt, and 1 minced garlic clove to the mix and process until well-blended in 30-second increments (about a minute). 
  3. Add half a can (¾ cup) of rinsed chickpeas and process for 1 minute. Then, add the other half of the can and process another 1-2 minutes. 
  4. If your hummus still has bits of chickpeas, process it a bit more while slowly adding 2-3 tablespoons of cold water. 


Tip adapted from Inspired Taste12

I twist, I turn, but I don’t have curves. You can twist me to fix me, but you may throw me into disarray in the process. Hours later, you may cast me away. What am I?

Last week’s riddle: What binds two people together yet touches only one person at a time?
Answer: An individual wedding ring.

Lake Winnipesaukee in Autumn
New Hampshire, USA

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, March 14, 2025

2. Investing.com, March 14, 2025

3. The Wall Street Journal, March 10, 2025

4. CNBC.com, March 11, 2025

5. CNBC.com, March 12, 2025

6. CNBC.com, March 12, 2025

7. The Wall Street Journal, March 14, 2025

8. MarketWatch.com, March 12, 2025

9. Newsweek, March 11, 2025

10. MarketWatch.com, March 10, 2025

11. IRS.gov, April 3, 2024

12. Inspired Taste, October 3, 2024

13. Provided by MT Newswires & YCharts.com, March 10-14th, 2025

Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.

Please consult your financial professional for additional information.

This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.

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